Cold War 2
Megatrend
Long-term, major change of a global nature; changing the balance of power, the existing way of operating.
Long-term, major change of a global nature; changing the balance of power, the existing way of operating.
- WORLD OF WAR
Time perspective
Trends are placed in four time perspectives:
NOW – perspective now;
NEW – short-term perspective (1-5 years);
NEXT – medium-term perspective (5-15 years);
BEYOND – perspective for the long term (15+ years).
Trends are placed in four time perspectives:
NOW – perspective now;
NEW – short-term perspective (1-5 years);
NEXT – medium-term perspective (5-15 years);
BEYOND – perspective for the long term (15+ years).
- Now
- New
- Next
- Beyond
Trend Momentum Index TM
infuture.institute’s proprietary indicator for assessing the relevance of trends. The TMI is calculated dynamically based on a wide range of data, including, among others, regulations introduced, research, patents filed, impact on sustainability goals, investments or the value of individual markets.
infuture.institute’s proprietary indicator for assessing the relevance of trends. The TMI is calculated dynamically based on a wide range of data, including, among others, regulations introduced, research, patents filed, impact on sustainability goals, investments or the value of individual markets.
Definition of a trend
A trend that refers to the increasing tensions and confrontations between the United States (and its allies in Europe) and countries such as Russia and China. These tensions are leading to the destabilisation of international relations. Technological rivalry, particularly in the areas of artificial intelligence, cyber-security and communication technologies, is another aspect of this trend. Also relevant within the trend is a scenario in which the role of the United States as the leader of the West is weakened, which may lead to splits and diversification of alliances (the role of NATO); such a scenario also opens up a discussion on alternative foreign and security policy directions in Europe especially in the context of the war in Ukraine (construction of the so-called Baltic defence line).
Trend Momentum Index TM
Reasons for the trend
- rivalry between the United States and China in the areas of technology, international trade and geopolitical influence,
- technological arms race between countries especially in the areas of artificial intelligence, cyber security and space technology,
- climate change and the struggle for access to key resources such as oil, natural gas, rare earth metals and water,
- strengthening existing military alliances and establishing new ones,
- the rise of regional conflicts and tensions (e.g. Ukraine or Taiwan).
Insights
Check out monthly updated examples of the occurrence of trend Cold War 2 in patents, scientific articles and media. Materials are selected using our machine learning algorithms and approved by the infuture.institute team
AI GENERATED
HUMAN CURATED
Consequences of the trend
- the deepening destabilisation of international relations,
- the increasing likelihood of conflicts, including armed conflicts,
- the possibility of splits and diversification of further alliances,
- Disruption of global economies and supply chains; deglobalisation,
- The increased importance of international cooperation necessary to mitigate conflicts.
Supporting technologies
artificial intelligence, autonomous weapons systems, autonomous robots, space technology, threat detection and response technologies, nuclear power, surveillance technologies
Industries most sensitive to the trend
Defence and armaments industry, technology industry, telecommunications industry, energy industry, space industry, media industry